26 San Francisco Marathon race mornings since 2000, measured hour by hour: temperature, dew point, wind, rain, and what the weather cost runners. The forecast for the 2027 race goes live here on Jul 19, six days out.
The San Francisco Marathon course, mile by mile: the elevation, every climb, and how I’d run each stretch.
Built from the median race morning since 2000, averaged across the hours you’d be running. Where the weather costs time, each cell gives the adjusted finish time and the pace per mile to run instead. Six days out, the real forecast replaces it.
| Goal on a cool day | Starting 5:15am | Starting 5:30am |
|---|---|---|
| 2:456:18/mi | 2:45 to 2:466:18–6:19/mi0% to 0.5% slower · score 110 | 2:45 to 2:466:18–6:19/mi0% to 0.5% slower · score 110 |
| 3:006:52/mi | 3:00 to 3:016:52–6:54/mi0% to 0.5% slower · score 110 | 3:00 to 3:016:52–6:54/mi0% to 0.5% slower · score 110 |
| 3:157:26/mi | 3:16 to 3:177:28–7:31/mi0.5% to 1% slower · score 111 | 3:16 to 3:177:28–7:31/mi0.5% to 1% slower · score 111 |
| 3:308:01/mi | 3:31 to 3:328:03–8:05/mi0.5% to 1% slower · score 111 | 3:31 to 3:328:03–8:05/mi0.5% to 1% slower · score 111 |
| 3:458:35/mi | 3:46 to 3:478:37–8:40/mi0.5% to 1% slower · score 111 | 3:46 to 3:478:37–8:40/mi0.5% to 1% slower · score 111 |
| 4:009:09/mi | 4:01 to 4:029:12–9:15/mi0.5% to 1% slower · score 111 | 4:01 to 4:029:12–9:15/mi0.5% to 1% slower · score 111 |
| 4:3010:18/mi | 4:31 to 4:3310:21–10:24/mi0.5% to 1% slower · score 112 | 4:31 to 4:3310:21–10:24/mi0.5% to 1% slower · score 112 |
| 5:0011:27/mi | 5:01 to 5:0311:30–11:33/mi0.5% to 1% slower · score 112 | 5:01 to 5:0311:30–11:33/mi0.5% to 1% slower · score 112 |
Start 2 to 3 seconds per mile slower than goal through the first 10 miles. Drink early, because by the time you feel the heat the deficit is already there, and race the last 10K on feel.
Race week, start to finish: how I’d run the three-week taper, what to take in during the race, how much to slow down in heat and humidity, and what the four weeks after should look like.
How I adjust pacing, fueling and the warm-up when race morning runs warm. One email when a new training note drops. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.
Every row in the table below is a measurement from the San Francisco International weather station, taken nearest 5:15am (today’s first-wave start) and again three hours later. Start times have moved over the years, so treat 5:15am as a clock time, not always the gun. Across 26 race mornings:
| Year | Date | Air / dew at 5:15am | Score | Air / dew at 8:15am | Score | Wind at 5:15am | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Jul 26 | 60° / 56° | 116 | 61° / 56° | 117 | W 15 mph | Dry |
| 2025 | Jul 27 | 57° / 55° | 112 | 58° / 55° | 113 | WSW 7 mph | Trace |
| 2024 | Jul 28 | 56° / 52° | 108 | 57° / 53° | 110 | SSW 5 mph | Dry |
| 2023 | Jul 23 | 60° / 52° | 112 | 61° / 53° | 114 | WNW 10 mph | Dry |
| 2022 | Jul 24 | 54° / 50° | 104 | 57° / 51° | 108 | W 3 mph | Dry |
| 2021 | Sep 19 | 61° / 57° | 118 | 61° / 56° | 117 | WNW 7 mph | Dry |
| 2020 | – | Virtual only (COVID-19), no race morning | |||||
| 2019 | Jul 28 | 60° / 52° | 112 | 64° / 53° | 117 | W 9 mph | Dry |
| 2018 | Jul 29 | 53° / 51° | 104 | 56° / 51° | 107 | WNW 6 mph | Dry |
| 2017 | Jul 23 | 57° / 53° | 110 | 60° / 54° | 114 | WNW 9 mph | Dry |
| 2016 | Jul 31 | 57° / 52° | 109 | 59° / 53° | 112 | W 3 mph | Dry |
| 2015 | Jul 26 | 59° / 55° | 114 | 62° / 56° | 118 | WNW 3 mph | Dry |
| 2014 | Jul 27 | 62° / 58° | 120 | 63° / 58° | 121 | WNW 12 mph | Light rain |
| 2013 | Jun 16 | 52° / 47° | 99 | 54° / 48° | 102 | W 9 mph | Dry |
| 2012 | Jul 29 | 55° / 50° | 105 | 55° / 50° | 105 | SW 9 mph | Dry |
| 2011 | Jul 31 | 59° / 52° | 111 | 60° / 52° | 112 | SW 5 mph | Dry |
| 2010 | Jul 25 | 56° / 50° | 106 | 57° / 50° | 107 | W 8 mph | Dry |
| 2009 | Jul 26 | 54° / 51° | 105 | 56° / 52° | 108 | W 6 mph | Dry |
| 2008 | Aug 3 | 55° / 51° | 106 | 56° / 51° | 107 | W 3 mph | Dry |
| 2007 | Jul 29 | 57° / 52° | 109 | 59° / 52° | 111 | W 6 mph | Dry |
| 2006 | Jul 30 | 59° / 54° | 113 | 62° / 55° | 117 | WNW 3 mph | Dry |
| 2005 | Jul 31 | 56° / 53° | 109 | 57° / 54° | 111 | WNW 12 mph | Dry |
| 2004 | Aug 1 | 59° / 57° | 116 | 60° / 57° | 117 | WSW 7 mph | Trace |
| 2003 | Jul 27 | 56° / 54° | 110 | 58° / 55° | 113 | W 12 mph | Dry |
| 2002 | Jul 28 | 61° / 55° | 116 | 63° / 55° | 118 | SW 5 mph | Dry |
| 2001 | Jul 8 | 56° / 54° | 110 | 59° / 56° | 115 | W 6 mph | Dry |
| 2000 | Jul 9 | 54° / 51° | 105 | 57° / 51° | 108 | W 7 mph | Dry |
Readings from the San Francisco International ASOS weather station (NOAA/FAA, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet), the observation nearest each hour. Scores above 100 call for a pace adjustment. Rain is the total the station measured in the 5 hours after 5:15am. Download every hour as a CSV.
Add the air temperature to the dew point, both in Fahrenheit. That combined score is closer to what your body feels than the temperature alone, because dew point decides whether your sweat can evaporate, and evaporating sweat is how you shed heat at race pace. The bands below are the same ones my heat pace calculator uses, and that page has the full chart and the physiology behind it.
The bands are a coach's rule of thumb, not a lab measurement. Treat each range as a starting point and let effort make the final call.
A forecast adjusts a pace. It doesn't know your training, how you handle heat, or how your last long run went. I write every plan by hand and set race-week pacing with each athlete. It starts with a free 20-minute call.
Book a free intro callCourse guides, mile by mile: Twin Cities Marathon, Chicago Marathon, Columbus Marathon, Detroit Marathon, Marine Corps Marathon, NYC Marathon, Philadelphia Marathon, California International Marathon, Honolulu Marathon, Houston Marathon, LA Marathon, Boston Marathon, Eugene Marathon, Flying Pig Marathon, Pittsburgh Marathon, Rock 'n' Roll San Diego Marathon, Grandma's Marathon. All race-day weather pages.
RunFitCoach is not affiliated with the The San Francisco Marathon or its organizers. Observations from the San Francisco International ASOS station (NOAA/FAA) via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Data updated Saturday, October 17, 2026.
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