27 LA Marathon race mornings since 2000, measured hour by hour: temperature, dew point, wind, rain, and what the weather cost runners. The forecast for the 2027 race goes live here on Mar 1, six days out.
Built from the median race morning since 2000, averaged across the hours you’d be running. Where the weather costs time, each cell gives the adjusted finish time and the pace per mile to run instead. Six days out, the real forecast replaces it.
| Goal on a cool day | Adjusted finish |
|---|---|
| 2:456:18/mi | 2:45 to 2:466:18–6:19/mi0% to 0.5% slower · score 104 |
| 3:006:52/mi | 3:00 to 3:016:52–6:54/mi0% to 0.5% slower · score 104 |
| 3:157:26/mi | 3:15 to 3:167:26–7:28/mi0% to 0.5% slower · score 104 |
| 3:308:01/mi | 3:30 to 3:318:01–8:03/mi0% to 0.5% slower · score 104 |
| 3:458:35/mi | 3:45 to 3:468:35–8:37/mi0% to 0.5% slower · score 105 |
| 4:009:09/mi | 4:00 to 4:019:09–9:12/mi0% to 0.5% slower · score 105 |
| 4:3010:18/mi | 4:30 to 4:3110:18–10:21/mi0% to 0.5% slower · score 105 |
| 5:0011:27/mi | 5:00 to 5:0111:27–11:30/mi0% to 0.5% slower · score 105 |
Run your goal pace. The weather will cost you a few seconds in the last 10K, not the first, so bank nothing early and take water at every station after mile 10.
How I adjust pacing, fueling and the warm-up when race morning runs warm. One email when a new training note drops. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.
Every row in the table below is a measurement from the Los Angeles International weather station, taken nearest 7am (today’s first-wave start) and again three hours later. Start times have moved over the years, so treat 7am as a clock time, not always the gun. Across 27 race mornings:
| Year | Date | Air / dew at 7am | Score | Air / dew at 10am | Score | Wind at 7am | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Mar 8Optional mile 18 finish offered for heat | 64° / 21° | 85 | 76° / 23° | 99 | Calm | Dry |
| 2025 | Mar 16 | 48° / 43° | 91 | 57° / 43° | 100 | Calm | Dry |
| 2024 | Mar 17 | 50° / 45° | 95 | 59° / 50° | 109 | E 5 mph | Dry |
| 2023 | Mar 19 | 59° / 47° | 106 | 59° / 53° | 112 | S 6 mph | Light rain |
| 2022 | Mar 20 | 55° / 51° | 106 | 63° / 47° | 110 | W 10 mph | Dry |
| 2021 | Nov 7 | 57° / 53° | 110 | 60° / 53° | 113 | Calm | Dry |
| 2020 | Mar 8 | 53° / 47° | 100 | 60° / 47° | 107 | NNE 3 mph | Dry |
| 2019 | Mar 24 | 54° / 51° | 105 | 61° / 52° | 113 | Calm | Dry |
| 2018 | Mar 18 | 47° / 41° | 88 | 55° / 44° | 99 | NE 6 mph | Dry |
| 2017 | Mar 19 | 56° / 55° | 111 | 60° / 55° | 115 | Calm | Dry |
| 2016 | Feb 14 | 50° / 48° | 98 | 57° / 56° | 113 | 3 mph | Dry |
| 2015 | Mar 15Start moved 30 minutes earlier for heat | 71° / 38° | 109 | 77° / 40° | 117 | NE 6 mph | Dry |
| 2014 | Mar 9 | 62° / 29° | 91 | 71° / 29° | 100 | Calm | Dry |
| 2013 | Mar 17 | 55° / 49° | 104 | 58° / 51° | 109 | Calm | Dry |
| 2012 | Mar 18 | 47° / 39° | 86 | 50° / 35° | 85 | NNE 3 mph | Dry |
| 2011 | Mar 20 | 55° / 39° | 94 | 54° / 46° | 100 | SE 12 mph | 0.59 in |
| 2010 | Mar 21 | 52° / 50° | 102 | 62° / 50° | 112 | Calm | Dry |
| 2009 | May 25 | 60° / 52° | 112 | 62° / 52° | 114 | W 5 mph | Dry |
| 2008 | Mar 2 | 50° / 46° | 96 | 60° / 48° | 108 | ENE 5 mph | Dry |
| 2007 | Mar 4 | 57° / 21° | 78 | 71° / 16° | 87 | ENE 7 mph | Dry |
| 2006 | Mar 19 | 49° / 39° | 88 | 56° / 43° | 99 | Calm | Dry |
| 2005 | Mar 6 | 53° / 53° | 106 | 61° / 56° | 117 | ENE 7 mph | Dry |
| 2004 | Mar 7 | 57° / 49° | 106 | 77° / 47° | 124 | Calm | Dry |
| 2003 | Mar 2 | 49° / 46° | 95 | 61° / 45° | 106 | E 5 mph | Dry |
| 2002 | Mar 3 | 51° / 17° | 68 | 64° / 17° | 81 | Calm | Dry |
| 2001 | Mar 4 | 53° / 48° | 101 | 57° / 47° | 104 | E 9 mph | Dry |
| 2000 | Mar 5 | 48° / 46° | 95 | 50° / 47° | 97 | ENE 13 mph | 0.91 in |
Readings from the Los Angeles International ASOS weather station (NOAA/FAA, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet), the observation nearest each hour. Scores above 100 call for a pace adjustment. Rain is the total the station measured in the 5 hours after 7am. Download every hour as a CSV.
Add the air temperature to the dew point, both in Fahrenheit. That combined score is closer to what your body feels than the temperature alone, because dew point decides whether your sweat can evaporate, and evaporating sweat is how you shed heat at race pace. The bands below are the same ones my heat pace calculator uses, and that page has the full chart and the physiology behind it.
The bands are a coach's rule of thumb, not a lab measurement. Treat each range as a starting point and let effort make the final call.
A forecast adjusts a pace. It doesn't know your training, how you handle heat, or how your last long run went. I write every plan by hand and set race-week pacing with each athlete. It starts with a free 20-minute call.
Book a free intro callRunFitCoach is not affiliated with the ASICS Los Angeles Marathon or its organizers. Observations from the Los Angeles International ASOS station (NOAA/FAA) via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Data updated Thursday, October 15, 2026.
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