Marathon weather & courses · Race-morning weather compared

Marathon race-morning weather, coolest to warmest.

I measured every race morning at 24 US marathons the same way, at each race’s own start time, and ranked them by the typical start, from Philadelphia’s score of 73 to Honolulu’s 136. The score is air temperature plus dew point in Fahrenheit, and above 100 I start adjusting pace. Here is how warm each one runs three hours in, and how often race morning has run warm.

What the score means

Air temperature plus dew point, both in °F. A 60°F morning with a 45°F dew point scores 105. At 100 or less, the weather shouldn’t cost you anything at marathon pace. Above 100 it starts to: 101 to 110 is up to 0.5% slower, 121 to 130 is 1% to 2% slower, and above 180 I wouldn’t race hard at all. The full chart is below, and my heat pace calculator does the math for any morning.

Every race here is a full marathon, read at the marathon’s own start time.

24 marathons by the typical race-morning score at the start · air + dew point, °F
RaceNext raceStartTypical start3 hours laterMornings over 100 at the startWarmest start
1. Philadelphia MarathonCourse guideNov 227am7341° / 32°7846° / 32°0 of 25992013
2. Columbus MarathonCourse guideOct 187:30am7942° / 37°9554° / 41°3 of 251342017
3. Colfax MarathonCourse guideMay 166am8145° / 36°9256° / 36°0 of 20982024
4. NYC MarathonCourse guideNov 19:10am8348° / 35°8854° / 34°5 of 241342022
5. California International MarathonCourse guideDec 67am8343° / 40°9350° / 43°4 of 251142012
6. Detroit MarathonCourse guideOct 187am8445° / 39°9250° / 42°6 of 251362017
7. Boston MarathonCourse guideApr 1910am8549° / 36°8751° / 36°7 of 261322012
8. Houston MarathonCourse guideJan 176:55am8546° / 39°9252° / 40°7 of 261292017
9. Eugene MarathonCourse guideApr 257am8946° / 43°9853° / 45°2 of 181142014
10. Twin Cities MarathonCourse guideOct 178am8948° / 41°9956° / 43°8 of 261412007
11. Jersey City MarathonCourse guideApr 187am9149° / 42°9556° / 39°1 of 41122023
12. Marine Corps MarathonCourse guideOct 257:20am9451° / 43°10056° / 44°9 of 241352019
13. Big Sur MarathonCourse guideApr 256:45am9650° / 46°10456° / 48°4 of 251042016
14. Atlanta MarathonMar 77:15am9752° / 45°9952° / 47°9 of 201212023
15. Chicago MarathonCourse guideOct 107:35am9752° / 45°10360° / 43°10 of 261372007
16. LA MarathonCourse guideMar 77am9953° / 46°10760° / 47°12 of 271122009
17. Pittsburgh MarathonCourse guideMay 27am10054° / 46°11060° / 50°9 of 201282010
18. Flying Pig MarathonCourse guideMay 26:30am10354° / 49°10758° / 49°13 of 261292024
19. San Francisco MarathonCourse guideJul 255:15am10957° / 52°11259° / 53°25 of 261202014
20. OC MarathonCourse guideMay 25:30am11059° / 51°11362° / 51°14 of 161162014
21. Rock 'n' Roll Nashville MarathonCourse guideApr 247:20am11058° / 52°11866° / 52°18 of 261412017
22. Grandma's MarathonCourse guideJun 197:45am11259° / 53°12066° / 54°23 of 261322016
23. Rock 'n' Roll San Diego MarathonCourse guideJun 66:15am11962° / 57°11963° / 56°26 of 261312025
24. Honolulu MarathonCourse guideDec 135am13671° / 65°13973° / 66°25 of 251452025

Download the table: marathon-race-morning-weather.csv.

What the table shows

The coolest typical start is Philadelphia’s: 41°F with a 32°F dew point at 7am, a score of 73. Columbus (79) and Colfax (81) come next. Each race is read at its own start time, so an early gun counts in its favor.

Seven of the 24 start above 100 on a typical morning, the point where I start adjusting pace: Honolulu, Rock 'n' Roll San Diego, Grandma's, Rock 'n' Roll Nashville, OC, San Francisco and Flying Pig. For those, plan on a warm race and be pleasantly surprised, not the other way around.

The biggest change over the morning is Columbus’s: a typical score of 79 at the start and 95 three hours later. A runner finishing in four hours races in different weather than one finishing in three, so the later column is the one to read if you’re out there longer.

The warmest race morning in the table was the Honolulu Marathon in 2025: 74°F with a 71°F dew point at the start, a score of 145.

Cool and flat: Columbus, CIM, Detroit, Houston, Eugene, Twin Cities and Jersey City sit in the cooler half here and the flatter half of the course elevation comparison. If the goal is a fast time, that’s where I’d start looking.

Combined score → how much to slow down
  • 100 or lessNo pace adjustment
  • 101 – 1100% to 0.5% slower
  • 111 – 1200.5% to 1% slower
  • 121 – 1301% to 2% slower
  • 131 – 1402% to 3% slower
  • 141 – 1503% to 4.5% slower
  • 151 – 1604.5% to 6% slower
  • 161 – 1706% to 8% slower
  • 171 – 1808% to 10% slower
  • Above 180Hard running is not recommended

How I measured them

Every race morning comes from a long-record NOAA/FAA weather station near the course (ASOS, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet): the reading nearest each race’s first-wave start and three hours later, on every race morning since 2000, or since the race began. The typical start is the median of those mornings. Each race is read at its own start time, because that is the weather its runners actually start in, so an early gun is part of why a race ranks cool. The score adds the air temperature to the dew point, both in Fahrenheit, the same as my heat pace calculator: 100 or less needs no pace adjustment, and the bands above it are on every race page. A station can sit a few miles from the course, so treat a single morning as close, not exact. Each race’s page has every morning, hour by hour.

Picking a race for a PR?

Race-morning weather is the part of race day you can’t train away, but you can pick for it and plan around it. The course matters as much, and so does where the race falls in your season. I help athletes pick the race and then build the plan around the conditions it’s likely to bring. It starts with a free 20-minute call.

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RunFitCoach is not affiliated with any of these races or their organizers. Observations from NOAA/FAA ASOS stations via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet.

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